Nostdam: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only On the watchlist
Edge only in other — copy that category alone. Reservation: ROI 2.7% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 340 144 resolved · 42% of them
- Win rate
- 26% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 3% $6702.58 on $997.95 traded
- Copyability
- 65 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Nostdam actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 70 | 246 | 27% | $972.59 |
| Politics | 50 | 11 | 0% | −$500.52 |
| Culture & entertainment | 16 | 83 | 19% | −$114.32 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 4 days before resolution. Average fill size $38.30; average spread paid 2.0¢; average book liquidity $7746.48. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow Nostdam on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed