thebug44: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too early to copy On the watchlist
Enters a median 93d before resolution — capital would sit idle. Reservation: win rate rests on only 7 settled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 347 92 resolved · 27% of them
- Win rate
- 29% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 23% $5779.44 on $15800.75 traded
- Copyability
- 82 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where thebug44 actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 69 | 159 | 28% | $5852.58 |
| Other markets | 65 | 53 | 44% | $891.91 |
| Politics | 50 | 85 | 0% | $9989.21 |
| Macro & economics | 50 | 50 | 0% | $205.41 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 93 days before resolution. Average fill size $209.44; average spread paid 0.6¢; average book liquidity $387650.37. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow thebug44 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed