Outsid3rTrading: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only On the watchlist
Edge only in sports — copy that category alone. Reservation: ROI -2.3% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 360 185 resolved · 51% of them
- Win rate
- 72% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -2% $15425.35 on $129074.86 traded
- Copyability
- 82 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Outsid3rTrading actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 76 | 10 | 90% | $7089.66 |
| Politics | 50 | 40 | 0% | $2021.96 |
| Geopolitics | 45 | 34 | 100% | −$429.00 |
| Other markets | 29 | 276 | 70% | −$12537.17 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 7 days before resolution. Average fill size $469.11; average spread paid 0.6¢; average book liquidity $250694.52. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow Outsid3rTrading on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed