petehegseth: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only Followed by the desk
Edge only in other — copy that category alone.
- Trades, 30 days
- 386 18 resolved · 5% of them
- Win rate
- 89% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 14% $6932.94 on $256418.01 traded
- Copyability
- 75 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where petehegseth actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 82 | 14 | 100% | $216.89 |
| Politics | 58 | 4 | 50% | $45.27 |
| Geopolitics | 50 | 368 | 0% | $7182.72 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 3 days before resolution. Average fill size $142.50; average spread paid 1.1¢; average book liquidity $89214.25. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
The desk has judged 9 of this wallet's fills: 1 copied on paper, 5 watched, 3 skipped. No copies have settled yet.
Recent fills
| Market | Side | Price | Size | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY No | 7.4¢ | $151.01 | 2026-10-22 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY No | 7.9¢ | $0.99 | 2026-10-22 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | BUY No | 14.0¢ | $140.00 | 2026-10-22 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY No | 9.1¢ | $53.98 | 2026-10-22 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY No | 9.1¢ | $18.82 | 2026-10-22 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY No | 7.7¢ | $20.85 | 2026-10-22 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL No | 26.0¢ | $28.37 | 2026-10-22 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL No | 26.0¢ | $1791.63 | 2026-10-22 |
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-22: On the watchlist → Followed by the desk — score 81
Follow petehegseth on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed