polmorket: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: 100% of profit from a single trade; win rate rests on only 3 settled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 40 15 resolved · 38% of them
- Win rate
- 7% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 28% $6012.50 on $16280.53 traded
- Copyability
- 75 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where polmorket actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 58 | 39 | 7% | $3625.24 |
| Crypto | 44 | 1 | 0% | −$1.03 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 1 hours before resolution. Average fill size $329.12; average spread paid 1.0¢; average book liquidity $59521.21. A large share of the profit came from one market, which is not a repeatable signal.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-09-30: On the watchlist → Rejected — 100% of profit from a single trade
Follow polmorket on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed