pretzel: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only On the watchlist
Edge only in politics — copy that category alone. Reservation: win rate rests on only 2 settled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 112 104 resolved · 93% of them
- Win rate
- 98% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 143% $8606.30 on $15123.86 traded
- Copyability
- 73 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where pretzel actually wins
Best category: Politics. Elections, nominations, legislation. Long horizons and news-driven repricing; a wallet that looks brilliant here often entered months early, which a follower cannot replicate.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 96 | 103 | 99% | $8514.13 |
| Other markets | 50 | 7 | 0% | −$1299.81 |
| Geopolitics | 44 | 2 | 0% | −$310.42 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 48 days before resolution. Average fill size $43.15; average spread paid 0.6¢; average book liquidity $28257.80. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow pretzel on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed