CAcap: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -15.3% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 327 47 resolved · 14% of them
- Win rate
- 40% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -15% $10207.09 on $39403.06 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where CAcap actually wins
Best category: Politics. Elections, nominations, legislation. Long horizons and news-driven repricing; a wallet that looks brilliant here often entered months early, which a follower cannot replicate.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 50 | 3 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Sports | 31 | 178 | 53% | −$2517.09 |
| Other markets | 21 | 146 | 34% | −$881.91 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 7 days before resolution. Average fill size $67.82; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-09-28: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -15.3% below floor
Follow CAcap on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed