insidiousidiot: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: ROI -10.7% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 317 61 resolved · 19% of them
- Win rate
- 51% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -11% $4010.69 on $31952.23 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where insidiousidiot actually wins
Best category: Politics. Elections, nominations, legislation. Long horizons and news-driven repricing; a wallet that looks brilliant here often entered months early, which a follower cannot replicate.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 50 | 40 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Macro & economics | 50 | 2 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Sports | 30 | 100 | 61% | −$14701.65 |
| Other markets | 23 | 175 | 40% | −$42482.80 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $1680.98; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow insidiousidiot on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed