0xc4fd…0677: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -13.8% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 81 38 resolved · 47% of them
- Win rate
- 26% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -14% $3438.66 on $36848.01 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where 0xc4fd…0677 actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 56 | 1 | 100% | $808.27 |
| Sports | 40 | 18 | 33% | −$1963.06 |
| Crypto | 25 | 26 | 23% | −$2655.89 |
| Other markets | 21 | 36 | 24% | −$9635.79 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry unknown (no end dates on sampled markets). Average fill size $1202.34; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-21: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -13.8% below floor
Follow 0xc4fd…0677 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed