semi-semi-: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?

0xc4f0d8e94a90ad0ad24bb27529df26a8949be891 · leaderboard rank #288 · on Polymarket ↗

Copyable Rejected

Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -14.1% below floor.

Trades, 30 days
52
25 resolved · 48% of them
Win rate
48%
on resolved markets
Margin on volume
-14%
$6622.04 on $4576.59 traded
Copyability
79/100
liquidity, spread, post-fill drift

Where semi-semi- actually wins

Best category: Politics. Elections, nominations, legislation. Long horizons and news-driven repricing; a wallet that looks brilliant here often entered months early, which a follower cannot replicate.

CategoryScoreMarketsWin rateP&L
Politics5030%$0.00
Sports274948%−$7571.21

Could you have copied these trades?

Typical entry about 7 days before resolution. Average fill size $1032.72; average spread paid 2.3¢; average book liquidity $3441126.77. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.

How the desk's view changed

  • 2026-10-23: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -14.1% below floor

Follow semi-semi- on paper, at your size

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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed

Similar politics wallets

Figures are the desk's 30-day research read of public Polymarket data, refreshed every few hours. “Margin on volume” is net P&L ÷ traded volume, not return on capital. Paper results are simulated. Nothing here is financial advice. Last updated 2026-10-23.