supersmard: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?

0xe3f2ecfd3e648bdabcd3fb701ccf294f13afe1c1 · leaderboard rank #448 · on Polymarket ↗

Copyable in one category only On the watchlist

Edge only in politics — copy that category alone. Reservation: win rate rests on only 5 settled markets; margin on volume 4.9% below floor.

Trades, 30 days
361
122 resolved · 34% of them
Win rate
49%
on resolved markets
Margin on volume
5%
$2627.24 on $46566.45 traded
Copyability
79/100
liquidity, spread, post-fill drift

Where supersmard actually wins

Best category: Politics. Elections, nominations, legislation. Long horizons and news-driven repricing; a wallet that looks brilliant here often entered months early, which a follower cannot replicate.

CategoryScoreMarketsWin rateP&L
Politics7131449%$4021.45
Sports63560%$215.60
Other markets50410%−$310.91
Geopolitics5010%−$228.98

Could you have copied these trades?

Typical entry about 23 days before resolution. Average fill size $211.04; average spread paid 1.0¢; average book liquidity $166634.61. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.

Follow supersmard on paper, at your size

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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed

Similar politics wallets

Figures are the desk's 30-day research read of public Polymarket data, refreshed every few hours. “Margin on volume” is net P&L ÷ traded volume, not return on capital. Paper results are simulated. Nothing here is financial advice. Last updated 2026-10-15.