sport-intelligence: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -33.3% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 106 27 resolved · 25% of them
- Win rate
- 48% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -33% $7757.08 on $77473.55 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where sport-intelligence actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 50 | 1 | 0% | −$5014.98 |
| Crypto | 44 | 7 | 0% | −$530.11 |
| Sports | 44 | 1 | 0% | −$10250.00 |
| Other markets | 28 | 97 | 52% | −$121444.17 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry unknown (no end dates on sampled markets). Average fill size $3888.34; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-02: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -33.3% below floor
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed