formyfamilia: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -26.2% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 359 212 resolved · 59% of them
- Win rate
- 75% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -26% $2471.83 on $110600.62 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where formyfamilia actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 41 | 25 | 96% | −$9572.93 |
| Other markets | 31 | 322 | 75% | −$92291.65 |
| Sports | 26 | 12 | 25% | −$11485.68 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 7 days before resolution. Average fill size $1204.52; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-22: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -26.2% below floor
Follow formyfamilia on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed