Mecky: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: win rate rests on only 6 settled markets; margin on volume -2.7% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 315 16 resolved · 5% of them
- Win rate
- 19% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -3% $6529.18 on $27337.73 traded
- Copyability
- 81 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Mecky actually wins
Best category: Politics. Elections, nominations, legislation. Long horizons and news-driven repricing; a wallet that looks brilliant here often entered months early, which a follower cannot replicate.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 50 | 57 | 0% | $2328.49 |
| Geopolitics | 50 | 46 | 0% | −$343.29 |
| Macro & economics | 50 | 41 | 0% | −$2629.70 |
| Crypto | 40 | 2 | 0% | −$493.59 |
| Sports | 35 | 95 | 43% | −$519.35 |
| Other markets | 32 | 74 | 0% | −$92.48 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 29 days before resolution. Average fill size $206.84; average spread paid 1.0¢; average book liquidity $323096.31. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-05: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 6 settled markets
Follow Mecky on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed