scrapbook: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable On the watchlist
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: win rate rests on only 5 settled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 120 45 resolved · 38% of them
- Win rate
- 89% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 102% $7551.28 on $4940.58 traded
- Copyability
- 81 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where scrapbook actually wins
Best category: Politics. Elections, nominations, legislation. Long horizons and news-driven repricing; a wallet that looks brilliant here often entered months early, which a follower cannot replicate.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 91 | 114 | 97% | $8346.03 |
| Macro & economics | 60 | 3 | 67% | $3299.36 |
| Other markets | 36 | 3 | 0% | −$993.28 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 34 days before resolution. Average fill size $87.26; average spread paid 0.8¢; average book liquidity $310959.48. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow scrapbook on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed