JoeBlack01: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too early to copy Rejected
Enters a median 67d before resolution — capital would sit idle. Reservation: win rate rests on only 6 settled markets; margin on volume -8.8% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 362 69 resolved · 19% of them
- Win rate
- 48% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -9% $3556.17 on $941.24 traded
- Copyability
- 77 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where JoeBlack01 actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 68 | 278 | 48% | $3836.61 |
| Politics | 50 | 55 | 0% | −$12085.11 |
| Other markets | 50 | 29 | 0% | $0.00 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 67 days before resolution. Average fill size $259.32; average spread paid 1.5¢; average book liquidity $177595.65. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-06: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 6 settled markets
Follow JoeBlack01 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed