The-Joker: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only Rejected
Edge only in culture — copy that category alone. Reservation: margin on volume -9.7% below floor. wide spreads (avg 6.0c).
- Trades, 30 days
- 287 48 resolved · 17% of them
- Win rate
- 56% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -10% $7860.65 on $15513.95 traded
- Copyability
- 56 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where The-Joker actually wins
Best category: Culture & entertainment. Awards, releases, viral moments. Small markets, wide spreads — profitable wallets here are rarely copyable at size.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Culture & entertainment | 68 | 41 | 79% | $683.80 |
| Crypto | 50 | 6 | 0% | $9079.50 |
| Geopolitics | 50 | 6 | 0% | −$182.49 |
| Macro & economics | 50 | 13 | 0% | $175.64 |
| Other markets | 42 | 117 | 94% | −$2576.33 |
| Politics | 27 | 31 | 0% | −$1248.27 |
| Sports | 22 | 73 | 0% | −$19263.42 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 31 days before resolution. Average fill size $479.58; average spread paid 5.8¢; average book liquidity $27554.28. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-06: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -9.7% below floor
Follow The-Joker on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed