shovelingdigging: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too illiquid to copy Followed by the desk
Typical market holds $2106 — below the $5000 floor. thin markets (avg liquidity $2106).
- Trades, 30 days
- 327 80 resolved · 24% of them
- Win rate
- 54% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 20% $2879.99 on $8294.98 traded
- Copyability
- 64 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where shovelingdigging actually wins
Best category: Culture & entertainment. Awards, releases, viral moments. Small markets, wide spreads — profitable wallets here are rarely copyable at size.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Culture & entertainment | 85 | 133 | 100% | $1716.97 |
| Other markets | 71 | 168 | 36% | $3649.82 |
| Sports | 65 | 11 | 57% | $248.59 |
| Macro & economics | 63 | 15 | 43% | $3566.84 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 138 days before resolution. Average fill size $138.95; average spread paid 1.3¢; average book liquidity $2000.15. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
The desk has judged 63 of this wallet's fills: 0 copied on paper, 57 watched, 6 skipped. No copies have settled yet.
Recent fills
| Market | Side | Price | Size | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? | SELL Yes | 99.5¢ | $3191.07 | 2026-09-26 |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 50m first week streams? | BUY Yes | 60.0¢ | $16.80 | 2026-09-26 |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? | BUY Yes | 80.7¢ | $34.84 | 2026-09-26 |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 50m first week streams? | BUY Yes | 60.0¢ | $43.20 | 2026-09-26 |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 50m first week streams? | BUY Yes | 52.2¢ | $53.71 | 2026-09-26 |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 50m first week streams? | BUY Yes | 64.9¢ | $316.29 | 2026-09-26 |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 50m first week streams? | BUY Yes | 69.0¢ | $62.36 | 2026-09-26 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | SELL No | 99.9¢ | $693.00 | 2026-09-26 |
Follow shovelingdigging on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed