BerlinerBoy: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only Rejected
Edge only in sports — copy that category alone. Reservation: 73% of profit from a single trade; win rate rests on only 6 settled markets; margin on volume -8.0% below floor. wide spreads (avg 16.0c).
- Trades, 30 days
- 198 22 resolved · 11% of them
- Win rate
- 45% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -8% $9502.81 on $0.00 traded
- Copyability
- 49 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where BerlinerBoy actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 76 | 9 | 100% | $11101.21 |
| Other markets | 21 | 189 | 8% | −$16541.53 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 11 hours before resolution. Average fill size $344.16; average spread paid 16.0¢; average book liquidity $18473.51. A large share of the profit came from one market, which is not a repeatable signal.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-23: On the watchlist → Rejected — 73% of profit from a single trade
Follow BerlinerBoy on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed