chliu: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable On the watchlist
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: 83% of profit from a single trade. book quality unknown for the sampled markets; very small average ticket — may be noise.
- Trades, 30 days
- 351 240 resolved · 68% of them
- Win rate
- 22% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 14% $6683.80 on $58502.34 traded
- Copyability
- 49 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where chliu actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 63 | 248 | 10% | $480.75 |
| Other markets | 56 | 103 | 54% | $46.48 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 7 days before resolution. Average fill size $10.48; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. A large share of the profit came from one market, which is not a repeatable signal.
Follow chliu on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed