dwarf123: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too early to copy On the watchlist
Enters a median 90d before resolution — capital would sit idle. Reservation: win rate rests on only 4 settled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 120 37 resolved · 31% of them
- Win rate
- 38% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 7% $2330.94 on $0.00 traded
- Copyability
- 72 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where dwarf123 actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 82 | 53 | 100% | $7155.15 |
| Politics | 50 | 29 | 0% | $1591.21 |
| Other markets | 13 | 38 | 0% | −$1069.81 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 90 days before resolution. Average fill size $899.76; average spread paid 1.3¢; average book liquidity $36406.75. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow dwarf123 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed