Toncar16: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Followed by the desk
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories.
- Trades, 30 days
- 237 97 resolved · 41% of them
- Win rate
- 36% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 36% $2861.89 on $14891.68 traded
- Copyability
- 72 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Toncar16 actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 74 | 65 | 44% | $8376.91 |
| Other markets | 72 | 112 | 42% | $5114.95 |
| Politics | 59 | 60 | 5% | $350.06 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 13 days before resolution. Average fill size $162.44; average spread paid 1.4¢; average book liquidity $40326.77. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-20: On the watchlist → Followed by the desk — score 74
Follow Toncar16 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed