Mustafalafel: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too early to copy On the watchlist
Enters a median 92d before resolution — capital would sit idle. Reservation: win rate rests on only 4 settled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 364 23 resolved · 6% of them
- Win rate
- 65% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 7% $4472.74 on $27686.70 traded
- Copyability
- 82 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Mustafalafel actually wins
Best category: Politics. Elections, nominations, legislation. Long horizons and news-driven repricing; a wallet that looks brilliant here often entered months early, which a follower cannot replicate.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 78 | 118 | 76% | $321.71 |
| Other markets | 60 | 222 | 33% | $2261.56 |
| Culture & entertainment | 50 | 3 | 0% | $0.19 |
| Crypto | 50 | 18 | 0% | −$22.44 |
| Geopolitics | 50 | 3 | 0% | $7.14 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 92 days before resolution. Average fill size $101.29; average spread paid 0.9¢; average book liquidity $304509.35. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow Mustafalafel on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed