truthteller: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too early to copy On the watchlist
Enters a median 97d before resolution — capital would sit idle. Reservation: win rate rests on only 3 settled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 371 115 resolved · 31% of them
- Win rate
- 31% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 14% $5899.09 on $30772.32 traded
- Copyability
- 82 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where truthteller actually wins
Best category: Politics. Elections, nominations, legislation. Long horizons and news-driven repricing; a wallet that looks brilliant here often entered months early, which a follower cannot replicate.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 71 | 277 | 31% | $12353.36 |
| Other markets | 50 | 38 | 0% | −$310.34 |
| Macro & economics | 50 | 54 | 0% | $131.12 |
| Geopolitics | 50 | 2 | 0% | $0.00 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 97 days before resolution. Average fill size $229.02; average spread paid 0.9¢; average book liquidity $280366.65. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow truthteller on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed