RW2019: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Not enough evidence Rejected
Only 9 resolved trades — not enough to judge. Reservation: win rate rests on only 1 settled market; only 9 resolved trades; margin on volume -3.0% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 47 9 resolved · 19% of them
- Win rate
- 100% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -3% $2800.16 on $0.00 traded
- Copyability
- 83 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where RW2019 actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 50 | 7 | 0% | $84.36 |
| Politics | 45 | 40 | 100% | −$7015.33 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 25 days before resolution. Average fill size $4937.87; average spread paid 0.6¢; average book liquidity $1480703.55. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-21: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 1 settled market
Follow RW2019 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed