TradingWave: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too early to copy Rejected
Enters a median 97d before resolution — capital would sit idle. Reservation: 84% of profit from a single trade; margin on volume -7.3% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 360 207 resolved · 57% of them
- Win rate
- 9% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -7% $8575.53 on $20247.40 traded
- Copyability
- 83 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where TradingWave actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 17 | 298 | 11% | −$220.83 |
| Sports | 9 | 62 | 0% | −$1755.37 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 97 days before resolution. Average fill size $75.09; average spread paid 0.1¢; average book liquidity $191108.57. A large share of the profit came from one market, which is not a repeatable signal.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-12: On the watchlist → Rejected — 84% of profit from a single trade
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed