Israel26: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -16.6% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 55 45 resolved · 82% of them
- Win rate
- 22% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -17% $11524.07 on $110212.25 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Israel26 actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 44 | 1 | 0% | −$15.00 |
| Crypto | 40 | 10 | 0% | −$890.68 |
| Sports | 16 | 44 | 24% | −$9199.76 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $1106.98; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-19: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -16.6% below floor
Follow Israel26 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed