HorribleWork: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: win rate rests on only 3 settled markets; margin on volume -5.2% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 122 83 resolved · 68% of them
- Win rate
- 1% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -5% $7167.11 on $121859.57 traded
- Copyability
- 81 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where HorribleWork actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 50 | 8 | 50% | $2032.80 |
| Politics | 50 | 33 | 0% | $375.50 |
| Macro & economics | 4 | 81 | 0% | −$8257.39 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 40 days before resolution. Average fill size $913.92; average spread paid 1.0¢; average book liquidity $986588.78. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-04: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 3 settled markets
Follow HorribleWork on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed