SemsBree: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Followed by the desk
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories.
- Trades, 30 days
- 145 91 resolved · 63% of them
- Win rate
- 71% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 23% $8165.17 on $20272.78 traded
- Copyability
- 81 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where SemsBree actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 86 | 143 | 72% | $3019.13 |
| Sports | 56 | 2 | 50% | $6472.50 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 5 hours before resolution. Average fill size $283.76; average spread paid 1.0¢; average book liquidity $230300.47. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
The desk has judged 28 of this wallet's fills: 0 copied on paper, 21 watched, 7 skipped. No copies have settled yet.
Recent fills
| Market | Side | Price | Size | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? | BUY No | 75.0¢ | $14.25 | 2026-09-28 |
| Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? | BUY No | 75.0¢ | $75.00 | 2026-09-28 |
| Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? | BUY No | 75.0¢ | $28.50 | 2026-09-28 |
| Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? | BUY No | 75.0¢ | $3.00 | 2026-09-28 |
| Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? | BUY No | 75.0¢ | $71.25 | 2026-09-28 |
| Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? | BUY No | 75.0¢ | $28.50 | 2026-09-28 |
| Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? | BUY No | 75.0¢ | $289.14 | 2026-09-28 |
| Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? | BUY No | 75.0¢ | $300.00 | 2026-09-28 |
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-09-28: On the watchlist → Followed by the desk — score 77
Follow SemsBree on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed