ulos: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: win rate rests on only 6 settled markets; margin on volume -12.8% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 347 19 resolved · 5% of them
- Win rate
- 32% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -13% $5011.81 on $30637.43 traded
- Copyability
- 75 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where ulos actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 56 | 117 | 38% | $123.36 |
| Geopolitics | 50 | 8 | 0% | $38.85 |
| Other markets | 27 | 222 | 27% | −$1450.15 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 1 days before resolution. Average fill size $29.04; average spread paid 1.3¢; average book liquidity $68669.01. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-06: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 6 settled markets
Follow ulos on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed