gregbeast: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -52.5% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 378 377 resolved · 100% of them
- Win rate
- 11% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -53% $6985.00 on $5000.00 traded
- Copyability
- 75 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where gregbeast actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 7 | 50 | 0% | −$902.20 |
| Other markets | 6 | 328 | 13% | −$51250.81 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 5 days before resolution. Average fill size $262.58; average spread paid 1.0¢; average book liquidity $54496.03. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-09-26: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -52.5% below floor
Follow gregbeast on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed