raskell2: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only Rejected
Edge only in culture — copy that category alone. Reservation: margin on volume -9.6% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 127 100 resolved · 79% of them
- Win rate
- 54% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -10% $3990.68 on $17085.60 traded
- Copyability
- 71 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where raskell2 actually wins
Best category: Culture & entertainment. Awards, releases, viral moments. Small markets, wide spreads — profitable wallets here are rarely copyable at size.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Culture & entertainment | 77 | 21 | 67% | $237.99 |
| Politics | 31 | 5 | 0% | −$309.68 |
| Other markets | 24 | 101 | 54% | −$4412.55 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 26 days before resolution. Average fill size $367.41; average spread paid 1.3¢; average book liquidity $21894.13. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-15: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -9.6% below floor
Follow raskell2 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed