mpyh: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -6.8% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 372 282 resolved · 76% of them
- Win rate
- 57% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -7% $6780.44 on $11371.35 traded
- Copyability
- 69 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where mpyh actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 24 | 372 | 57% | −$2988.19 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 4 hours before resolution. Average fill size $117.31; average spread paid 1.0¢; average book liquidity $13564.59. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-09-27: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -6.8% below floor
Follow mpyh on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed