lug: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only Rejected
Edge only in other — copy that category alone. Reservation: ROI -9.6% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 374 110 resolved · 29% of them
- Win rate
- 23% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -10% $1190.96 on $445.15 traded
- Copyability
- 69 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where lug actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 72 | 221 | 85% | $635.55 |
| Politics | 50 | 69 | 0% | −$279.10 |
| Sports | 6 | 84 | 4% | −$4184.93 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 41 days before resolution. Average fill size $106.29; average spread paid 2.5¢; average book liquidity $36703.55. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed