Marios15t: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -12.2% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 110 25 resolved · 23% of them
- Win rate
- 56% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -12% $4822.31 on $16013.81 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Marios15t actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 44 | 2 | 0% | −$1300.27 |
| Sports | 40 | 26 | 60% | −$3433.96 |
| Other markets | 31 | 82 | 58% | −$3801.38 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry unknown (no end dates on sampled markets). Average fill size $633.58; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-18: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -12.2% below floor
Follow Marios15t on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed