nonkenny90: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too early to copy Followed by the desk
Enters a median 84d before resolution — capital would sit idle. Reservation: 63% of profit from a single trade.
- Trades, 30 days
- 330 43 resolved · 13% of them
- Win rate
- 98% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 15% $3529.13 on $22584.22 traded
- Copyability
- 78 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where nonkenny90 actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 66 | 27 | 80% | $10337.98 |
| Other markets | 60 | 155 | 100% | $486.28 |
| Crypto | 56 | 56 | 100% | $42.37 |
| Sports | 50 | 46 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Culture & entertainment | 50 | 8 | 0% | $89.10 |
| Macro & economics | 50 | 6 | 0% | −$3.48 |
| Politics | 43 | 32 | 100% | −$382.78 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 84 days before resolution. Average fill size $215.96; average spread paid 0.7¢; average book liquidity $97976.19. A large share of the profit came from one market, which is not a repeatable signal.
The desk has judged 2 of this wallet's fills: 0 copied on paper, 1 watched, 1 skipped. No copies have settled yet.
Recent fills
| Market | Side | Price | Size | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | BUY No | 91.0¢ | $91.00 | 2026-10-10 |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? | BUY No | 91.0¢ | $2.24 | 2026-10-10 |
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-10: On the watchlist → Followed by the desk — 63% of profit from a single trade
Follow nonkenny90 on paper, at your size
Stratex Hub mirrors the desk's copies from published wallets into a paper account sized to your bankroll, and benchmarks every one against blind copying. No keys, no funds, nothing to install. Free for 90 days.
Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed