MillyFilly: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too early to copy Rejected
Enters a median 82d before resolution — capital would sit idle. Reservation: win rate rests on only 4 settled markets; margin on volume -4.7% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 345 47 resolved · 14% of them
- Win rate
- 47% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -5% $2384.09 on $2500.00 traded
- Copyability
- 71 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where MillyFilly actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 50 | 78 | 0% | $762.18 |
| Sports | 23 | 267 | 47% | −$1629.87 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 82 days before resolution. Average fill size $53.16; average spread paid 1.7¢; average book liquidity $38474.22. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-20: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 4 settled markets
Follow MillyFilly on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed