outcomes: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Followed by the desk
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories.
- Trades, 30 days
- 122 30 resolved · 25% of them
- Win rate
- 53% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 34% $2529.76 on $7962.22 traded
- Copyability
- 71 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where outcomes actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 70 | 97 | 50% | $5449.23 |
| Politics | 68 | 9 | 71% | $41.49 |
| Geopolitics | 50 | 9 | 0% | −$376.57 |
| Crypto | 35 | 7 | 43% | −$212.71 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 26 days before resolution. Average fill size $117.00; average spread paid 2.2¢; average book liquidity $58864.72. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-11: On the watchlist → Followed by the desk — score 75
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed