SimpleTony: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: ROI -48.5% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 385 161 resolved · 42% of them
- Win rate
- 9% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -48% $1625.01 on $7505.89 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where SimpleTony actually wins
Best category: Politics. Elections, nominations, legislation. Long horizons and news-driven repricing; a wallet that looks brilliant here often entered months early, which a follower cannot replicate.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 31 | 14 | 0% | −$370.10 |
| Other markets | 6 | 371 | 10% | −$17733.50 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 3 hours before resolution. Average fill size $96.97; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow SimpleTony on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed