Mac-Gyver: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only Followed by the desk
Edge only in other — copy that category alone.
- Trades, 30 days
- 379 280 resolved · 74% of them
- Win rate
- 65% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 50% $11867.56 on $21627.04 traded
- Copyability
- 75 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Mac-Gyver actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 85 | 360 | 65% | $43849.44 |
| Geopolitics | 63 | 16 | 75% | $7092.21 |
| Politics | 50 | 2 | 0% | $289.24 |
| Sports | 44 | 1 | 0% | −$1741.07 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 5 days before resolution. Average fill size $263.44; average spread paid 0.8¢; average book liquidity $67712.69. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
The desk has judged 1 of this wallet's fills: 0 copied on paper, 0 watched, 1 skipped. No copies have settled yet.
Recent fills
| Market | Side | Price | Size | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | SELL No | 62.0¢ | $0.02 | 2026-09-30 |
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-01: On the watchlist → Followed by the desk — score 80
Follow Mac-Gyver on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed