scout: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?

0x2d99e29c4f066ba32098c65e4c7454b277d94ca3 · leaderboard rank #237 · on Polymarket ↗

Copyable in one category only On the watchlist

Edge only in politics — copy that category alone. Reservation: margin on volume 0.1% below floor.

Trades, 30 days
329
172 resolved · 52% of them
Win rate
90%
on resolved markets
Margin on volume
0%
$8933.69 on $50347.65 traded
Copyability
69/100
liquidity, spread, post-fill drift

Where scout actually wins

Best category: Politics. Elections, nominations, legislation. Long horizons and news-driven repricing; a wallet that looks brilliant here often entered months early, which a follower cannot replicate.

CategoryScoreMarketsWin rateP&L
Politics718888%$7384.52
Other markets5733100%$463.69
Sports50370%$0.00
Geopolitics4817188%−$6380.47

Could you have copied these trades?

Typical entry about 8 days before resolution. Average fill size $3507.08; average spread paid 1.6¢; average book liquidity $19476.37. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.

Follow scout on paper, at your size

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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed

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Figures are the desk's 30-day research read of public Polymarket data, refreshed every few hours. “Margin on volume” is net P&L ÷ traded volume, not return on capital. Paper results are simulated. Nothing here is financial advice. Last updated 2026-10-05.