caspar1248: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: ROI -8.2% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 315 21 resolved · 7% of them
- Win rate
- 38% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -8% $1107.56 on $9657.88 traded
- Copyability
- 68 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where caspar1248 actually wins
Best category: Politics. Elections, nominations, legislation. Long horizons and news-driven repricing; a wallet that looks brilliant here often entered months early, which a follower cannot replicate.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 50 | 8 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Geopolitics | 50 | 19 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Other markets | 35 | 147 | 43% | −$234.13 |
| Sports | 27 | 141 | 36% | −$770.57 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 7 days before resolution. Average fill size $39.05; average spread paid 1.4¢; average book liquidity $12281.58. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow caspar1248 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed