JonTay: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too early to copy On the watchlist
Enters a median 116d before resolution — capital would sit idle. Reservation: win rate rests on only 7 settled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 358 80 resolved · 22% of them
- Win rate
- 36% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 25% $19114.59 on $45830.74 traded
- Copyability
- 81 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where JonTay actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 83 | 50 | 100% | $20847.04 |
| Sports | 56 | 2 | 100% | $2340.41 |
| Macro & economics | 12 | 306 | 19% | −$6505.15 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 116 days before resolution. Average fill size $187.56; average spread paid 1.3¢; average book liquidity $560636.34. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow JonTay on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed