Arman2: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only On the watchlist
Edge only in other — copy that category alone. Reservation: margin on volume 1.4% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 373 243 resolved · 65% of them
- Win rate
- 60% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 1% $3635.10 on $24230.68 traded
- Copyability
- 81 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Arman2 actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 80 | 296 | 65% | $3308.48 |
| Crypto | 50 | 4 | 0% | −$999.20 |
| Politics | 34 | 19 | 33% | −$173.08 |
| Geopolitics | 21 | 54 | 18% | −$1222.70 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 14 days before resolution. Average fill size $178.64; average spread paid 0.8¢; average book liquidity $197128.82. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow Arman2 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed