BikesAreTheBikes: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Followed by the desk
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories.
- Trades, 30 days
- 342 102 resolved · 30% of them
- Win rate
- 5% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 11% $1245.70 on $364.82 traded
- Copyability
- 73 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where BikesAreTheBikes actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 61 | 145 | 7% | $3434.76 |
| Politics | 59 | 130 | 2% | $2124.47 |
| Macro & economics | 50 | 3 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Culture & entertainment | 50 | 14 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Geopolitics | 40 | 50 | 0% | −$618.21 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 5 hours before resolution. Average fill size $127.33; average spread paid 1.5¢; average book liquidity $45415.80. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow BikesAreTheBikes on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed