equalsignificance: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too early to copy Followed by the desk
Enters a median 66d before resolution — capital would sit idle.
- Trades, 30 days
- 391 374 resolved · 96% of them
- Win rate
- 33% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 24% $75720.62 on $205908.65 traded
- Copyability
- 73 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where equalsignificance actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 73 | 390 | 33% | $22685.67 |
| Geopolitics | 50 | 1 | 0% | $0.00 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 66 days before resolution. Average fill size $242.32; average spread paid 0.7¢; average book liquidity $26361.56. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
The desk has judged 193 of this wallet's fills: 0 copied on paper, 121 watched, 72 skipped. No copies have settled yet.
Recent fills
| Market | Side | Price | Size | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win - Game 2 Winner | BUY 1win | 61.0¢ | $6100.00 | 2026-09-25 |
| Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner | BUY Sinners | 38.0¢ | $1440.81 | 2026-09-25 |
| LoL: ZSK vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D | BUY ZSK | 21.0¢ | $0.27 | 2026-09-25 |
| LoL: ZSK vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D | BUY ZSK | 21.0¢ | $2.43 | 2026-09-25 |
| LoL: ZSK vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D | BUY ZSK | 21.0¢ | $11.67 | 2026-09-25 |
| LoL: ZSK vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D | BUY ZSK | 21.0¢ | $1.07 | 2026-09-25 |
| LoL: ZSK vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D | BUY ZSK | 21.0¢ | $0.27 | 2026-09-25 |
| LoL: ZSK vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D | BUY ZSK | 21.0¢ | $135.17 | 2026-09-25 |
Follow equalsignificance on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed