CanadianSolar: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only Rejected
Edge only in geopolitics — copy that category alone. Reservation: margin on volume -15.9% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 232 199 resolved · 86% of them
- Win rate
- 60% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -16% $3710.90 on $10693.97 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where CanadianSolar actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 89 | 28 | 100% | $913.47 |
| Sports | 37 | 4 | 25% | −$481.12 |
| Other markets | 23 | 200 | 54% | −$5580.97 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 3 hours before resolution. Average fill size $139.57; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-22: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -15.9% below floor
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed