rookiaski: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?

0x1648b1a807342b04dc2ccefb241d35a5ed04e4cf · leaderboard rank #344 · on Polymarket ↗

Copyable Rejected

Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -41.5% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.

Trades, 30 days
372
170 resolved · 46% of them
Win rate
54%
on resolved markets
Margin on volume
-42%
$4479.24 on $43403.44 traded
Copyability
54/100
liquidity, spread, post-fill drift

Where rookiaski actually wins

Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.

CategoryScoreMarketsWin rateP&L
Geopolitics5030%−$2332.00
Other markets2336954%−$40724.08

Could you have copied these trades?

Typical entry about 4 hours before resolution. Average fill size $278.85; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.

How the desk's view changed

  • 2026-10-18: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -41.5% below floor

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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed

Similar geopolitics wallets

Figures are the desk's 30-day research read of public Polymarket data, refreshed every few hours. “Margin on volume” is net P&L ÷ traded volume, not return on capital. Paper results are simulated. Nothing here is financial advice. Last updated 2026-10-18.