karl44: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only Followed by the desk
Edge only in sports — copy that category alone.
- Trades, 30 days
- 349 316 resolved · 91% of them
- Win rate
- 47% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 10% $7758.63 on $44487.25 traded
- Copyability
- 78 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where karl44 actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 77 | 261 | 46% | $9443.93 |
| Other markets | 23 | 88 | 52% | −$2142.22 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 7 days before resolution. Average fill size $210.38; average spread paid 1.0¢; average book liquidity $108353.57. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
The desk has judged 41 of this wallet's fills: 0 copied on paper, 34 watched, 7 skipped. No copies have settled yet.
Recent fills
| Market | Side | Price | Size | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munar | BUY Taylor Fritz | 46.0¢ | $10.27 | 2026-10-01 |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munar | BUY Taylor Fritz | 47.0¢ | $10.27 | 2026-10-01 |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munar | BUY Taylor Fritz | 47.0¢ | $20.53 | 2026-10-01 |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munar | BUY Taylor Fritz | 69.0¢ | $279.26 | 2026-10-01 |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munar | BUY Taylor Fritz | 75.0¢ | $354.37 | 2026-10-01 |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munar | BUY Taylor Fritz | 71.0¢ | $350.00 | 2026-10-01 |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munar | BUY Taylor Fritz | 68.0¢ | $330.20 | 2026-10-01 |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munar | BUY Taylor Fritz | 70.0¢ | $363.37 | 2026-10-01 |
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-01: On the watchlist → Followed by the desk — score 76
Follow karl44 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed