SplendidAmadeus: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable On the watchlist
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -3.8% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 317 135 resolved · 43% of them
- Win rate
- 81% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -4% $6455.15 on $10979.16 traded
- Copyability
- 69 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where SplendidAmadeus actually wins
Best category: Macro & economics. Rates, inflation prints, central-bank decisions. Scheduled resolution and heavy institutional positioning; the source wallet's timing is the whole edge.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macro & economics | 50 | 2 | 0% | $383.85 |
| Crypto | 50 | 7 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Geopolitics | 50 | 1 | 0% | $10.53 |
| Sports | 34 | 232 | 83% | −$7135.45 |
| Other markets | 34 | 75 | 68% | −$6516.13 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $1111.59; average spread paid 1.2¢; average book liquidity $14141.72. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow SplendidAmadeus on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed